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للإتصال
بنا

JPR 57 Pakistan

NEW
WORLD DISORDER
From
Lebanon to
Turkey to
Sri Lanka
to Pakistan
to
Iraq to
Afghanistan
to Iran....

Pakistan's Musharaf
Blackmailed by US?

MER
- MiddleEast.Org - Washington
- 16 August 2006:
The U.S. is
the world's only real superpower at the moment, and
consequently what the U.S. does, and does
not do, reverberates far and wide around the
globe.

In Washington the deceitful and
war-mongering policies of the Christian Evangelicals in league
with the largely Jewish and Zionist Neocons -- in conjunction
with Israeli devastation of the Palestinians in the occupied
territories and now again in Lebanon -- are
backfiring far and wide.

Is this the
overall context is which this article about
Pakistan may be on
target?

None of us in the truly independent
sector can know for sure -- such things are closely held
national secrets that few even in the intelligence services
have access to.  But there is a great deal of
circumstantial 'evidence' that lends considerable possible
veracity to what is discussed in this article which is written
by an enterprising Pakistani journalist now exiled in
Canada.

Moreover, as with so many things,
there is quite a history here going back to another strong-man
Pakistani General who was President until he was killed --
General Zia al-Haq.  Rumors of American, and possibly
Israeli involvent, in General Zia's demise still
linger.   And remember now, Pakistan is the only
nuclear-armed Muslim nation and for many years was badgered
and threatened by the U.S. and Israel -- including attempts in
decades past to attack and destroy Pakistan's nuclear
capabilities, as is now being planned for Iran.

Will America Assassinate

General Musharraf?

By ABID ULLAH
JAN

July
20, 2006

eneral
Musharraf
wants to remain president-in-uniform till 2012.
America
wants to keep Pakistan occupied
by its armed forces for as long as possible. It seems that
with these complimentary objectives, Musharraf and Washington
are getting along well. The reality, however, is totally
different.

The
United
States extracted all
concessions from General Musharraf through sheer blackmail.
Musharraf would never have surrendered Pakistan’s
sovereignty and independence merely on a phone call from
Collin Powell or George W. Bush if he were not blackmailed for
the ISI’s role in Operation 9/11.

Of
course, the ISI was used to frame Arabs for the 9/11 attacks.
But in the process, ISI’s guilt was established as an agency
supporting and financing the so-declared hijackers. There are
ample reasons to believe that evidence about ISI’s involvement
in 9/11 was used to blackmail General Musharraf into the
quickest surrender of our age.

Washington
knows that the general did not concede much by choice. With
elections for the next parliament due in 2007, General
Musharraf is desperately building a political base in the
country to get a re-election from the new parliament for the
next term or to get a change in the constitution to a
presidential democracy to be able to shed the uniform and also
to retain the political and executive powers as president. If
he succeeds in this plan, this will go in favour of Washington. But Washington sees some serious problems,
which would derail Musharraf’s bid to remain the most powerful
man in Pakistan. This may
lead Washington to settle General
Musharraf’s issue the way it dealt with General Zia. The
following factors show that assassinating Musharraf might
become one of the best options for the United
States in the present
circumstances.

General
Musharraf has not outlived his utility for Washington as yet. However,
it is not possible for General Musharraf to remain the army
chief forever. The best way Washington believes its
interest could be served is to make General Musharraf’s
autocratic rule look more democratic. For that, instead of
crafting new webs and making another leader to fully submit,
Washington would like to see
Musharraf become another Hosnie Mubarak in Islamabad. Washington now wants him to
shed his uniform and become a civilian president in the
present setup.

The
dilemma before Washington,
however, is that no civilian ruler can use the military in the
service of the United States as
effectively as General Musharraf is doing as the military
chief. At the same time, the U.S. efforts to
create an alternate political leadership in the country to
increase pressure on Musharraf also seem to be getting
nowhere.

General
Musharraf’s present political allies are more of a liability
than asset for him now. The main political allies, the
Pakistan Muslim League (PML Quid-e-Azam group), are most
corrupt, inefficient and ineffective, with no hope of securing
required seats in the next elections. There is also serious
internal dissent within the PML (Q).

General
Musharraf’s other ally, Mutahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), is also
considered a corrupt, blackmailing, sub-nationalist-minded,
mafia-styled gang, which is fully exploiting the weaknesses of
the general. MQM is the most unreliable, even treacherous,
political ally for him.

<>
Musharraf propped up the religious alliance of Muthahida
majlis-e-Amal (MMA) and then used it for constitutional
changes in his favour. Musharraf reneged on public promises to
MMA to relinquish the post of chief of army staff as part of
the process of restoring democracy in Pakistan. Islamabad’s suspension from
commonwealth was lifted on the condition that General
Musharraf would give up his military uniform by the end of
2004 as a proof of his commitment to democratic reform. Now
the religious alliance is sensing his weaknesses and is
gearing up its barrage against him.

There is a
very strong perception within the religious parties that the
MQM was behind the Karachi blast in April 2006.
Scores of people, including prominent MMA leader Haji Hanif
Billo, were killed when a bomb went off at a religious
gathering in Karachi. Since then, the
government has contemplated no action against the MQM, a
factor that will agitate more public anger.

Former
prime ministers Nawaz, Sharif and Benazir are now flexing
their muscles to challenge him in the coming days. There are
talks of joint efforts to remove Musharraf and even the MQM is
signaling that it is willing to join such a campaign. If
Benazir and Nawaz decided to return before the elections, even
their arrest would make them political heroes, creating more
embarrassment for the general.

The
entire governance and economy is in a big mess. Musharraf
relied on Shaukat Aziz, who has miserably failed on all
counts. Inflation is wrecking the life of the common man – the
vote bank in any elections. That vote bank is not impressed
with Shaukat Aziz blowing smoke in their face with economic
jargon. For a common man, for example, it is enough to know
that the sugar crisis is still haunting the country. The
prices have almost doubled in recent months to record levels.
Still, there are no imports and all the national demands are
being met in abundant supply from local stocks. The price hike
gave windfall profits of billions of rupees to a few select
sugar cartel mafias within a few months. The much-vaunted
National Accountability Bureau was forced to drop the probe
immediately after it started. The common man knows that
corruption is at an all-time high within the state machinery.
Abuse of power and authority are daily headlines. Police and
the judiciary system remain most corrupt as well.

Thus,
General Musharraf and Washington are now left with extremely
limited, difficult and almost impossible options.

1.
Even
if the military is still behind him, it is highly unlikely
that he may decide to confront the Americans, forget about
democracy, stop taking international pressures, and take
absolute power in his own hands once again as he had when he
took power in October 1999. It does not seem possible that
Musharraf would once more abolish the assemblies, defer the
constitution, draft his own constitution, and declare a
presidential system or even martial law. In the past, he
formed a team of so-considered honest, selfless and efficient
professionals to rectify the damages done in the past few
years and tried to bring back control in the economy,
security, governance, judiciary and social welfare of the
country. He has clearly failed. Of course, the suffering
masses are not interested in democracy or martial law. They
want security, dignity, cheap food and energy, as well as
economic development. It does not matter to them who delivers
this. Nevertheless, it will be a huge task to fool them twice
with the same mantra. On the part of General Musharraf, it
would amount to saying, “I am redoing the eight-year
experiment.”

2.
Another
option is renegotiating with the Americans. It is not a
problem for him to bend backwards even more. He would send
Pakistani forces to Iraq, recognize
Israel,
commit more troops to Miranshah, take responsibility for
finishing off the Taliban in Afghanistan and the Madrassas
in Pakistan, and allow more
unrestricted access to the United States into
Pakistan’s security
and intelligence, as well as nuke apparatus. Nevertheless, for
sustaining all this he has to remain the chief of armed
forces. With these measures, he can immediately become the
blue-eyed boy of the Americans once again and there will be no
further chatter in Washington about democracy.
But Musharraf will have a revolt on hand in the home front and
perhaps even a rebellion in the army.

3.
The
third option is to contest elections with whatever support
base the general has so far and keep Benazir, Nawaz and Sharif
out of the electoral process to weaken their collective
nuisance. Some heavy-duty management will be required to
“arrange” the required results and to neutralize the MMA and
PPP/Nawaz factor. The general has done this with the help of
ISI before and can do the same again. Consequently, MQM will
continue to exploit the situation and basically nothing will
improve in the country in terms of economy and governance or
law and order; likewise, the same team of suspects will
reappear to exploit him even further for the next four years.
Things can get mismanaged if Nawaz and Benazir decided to come
back before the elections and launch a street protest calling
their court cases politically motivated. The MMA would also
join them and a bit of “hidden hand” support could start an
unexpected but very real inferno. Even if everything goes
well, the general will have to give up his position as the
military chief. Losing his military position will make the
general lose all attractiveness to Washington, which is mainly concerned
with sustaining Pakistan’s occupation with the
Pakistani armed forces and using the Pakistani army in the
interest of the United
States.

4.
The
fourth option is that the general reads the writing on the
wall and decides to quit, handing over power to the next army
chief who would promise the elections or would decide to stay
in power depending upon what he wants to do. Musharraf will
have to leave the country with his family and may settle in
some friendly or neutral country like Turkey or a country in
Europe. This option suits
Washington, but General
Musharraf is addicted to power to an extent that it is highly
unlikely that he will hang his boots up so
easily.

5.
The
last option is assassination. He may be assassinated either by
his army men, any local resistance groups, Baluchistan
Liberation army assassins, or someone sent by the Americans to
blame “religious extremists” and pave the way for another
general to take over and continue Pakistan’s occupation for
another decade or so. Being in charge of the general’s
personal security in many ways, it is only the Americans who
can successfully carry out the assassination operation against
him. His departure in a violent manner will serve many of the
U.S.’s
objectives.

In
the next few weeks or months, events would basically unfold in
one of the many options discussed above. Right now, both
Musharraf and Washington are confused and have not clearly
decided on any of the options.

The
assassination option carries the most weight. We know from
experience that leaders in the Muslim world who associated
themselves with Washington unconditionally
are doomed. The Shah of Iran, General Zia and Saddam Hussein
are prominent examples. General Musharraf may continue to rule
by force and power, but would not have any grassroots support
and hence would remain on shaky ground within his own country.

Washington
is now giving General Musharraf a very tough time. He is not
finding the courage to stand up to Washington or to face the
nation. He has gone silent these days and is not defending
U.S.
actions, nor is he making supportive statements about the
U.S. strategy in
the Muslim world. He was under the misconception that
Washington would appreciate
his concessions, which it was obtaining from the general
through blackmail, as his favors. This, however, was not the
case. Washington didn’t appreciate
the “sincerity” and “sacrifice” of the entrapped general. Now,
the disillusioned general is annoyed and offended by the
American rebuffs to his demands and is feeling ditched and
betrayed. That is a sick feeling for a man who had put all his
eggs in one big American basket and is now left alone and
abandoned to be replaced with another strongman, who could
keep himself in uniform for a longer period than the burnt out
General Musharraf. A more docile and cooperative political
leadership would be the last option considered in Washington.

<>
General Musharraf is in the middle of nowhere at the moment.
His only option is to come out clean on his relations with the
Americans and to give voice to what he has been hiding from
his people and the whole world. He might be portrayed as
insane as a result, but to save Pakistan and the
world from the scourge of a greater war, he must tell the
truth and the whole story of his entrapment to grab the
initiative back and restore the confidence of his nation in
his words and deeds. Unless General Musharraf restores the
confidence of his people in his policies at home by telling
the whole truth about the way the ISI was used in 9/11 and how
Pakistan has been
blackmailed, he is doomed.

33

Yemen Affairs 33

باجمال: لو لم تكن
هناك انتخابات رئاسية لما حدثت أزمة في
اليمن

ـ الدول الخليجية واليمن
سيندمون إن لم نحول مجلس التعاون إلى منظومة الجزيرة
العربية

المعارضة تحذر
من ثورة شعبية على خلفية الخلافات الانتخابية في
اليمن

الزنداني يخوض
الانتخابات بشريط "نار وصراخ".. ومحاولات اغتيال غير
مؤكدة

اللوزي:
السعودية تتفهم امتناعنا عن تسليم مطلوب يمني لها

القربي: اليمن
تتفهم رفض "حماس" الاعتراف بإسرائيل.. لتعطى فرصة كي تحكم
وتتغير

ـ القضاء اليمني
قد يعلن أسماء الجهات المتورطة بتقديم الدعم المالي لتمرد الحوثي
في جبال صعدة

في لقاء مع عدد
من الصحفيين العرب وجهت "الوطن" و"حركة إبداع" معظم
أسئلته

باجمال: لو لم
تكن هناك انتخابات رئاسية لما حدثت أزمة في اليمن

ـ الدول الخليجية
واليمن سيندمون إن لم نحول مجلس التعاون إلى منظومة الجزيرة
العربية

ـ تأهيل الدول
الخليجية للاقتصاد اليمني ليس مكلفا مقابل منظومة التعاون الأمني
الإستراتيجي

ـ عرضت على الحزب
الاشتراكي 30 مقعدا في انتخابات 1997 فقاطعها وحصل على 7 مقاعد
في 2003

ـ حسين الحوثي
طرح نفسه إماما أواخر عهد الإمام أحمد.. تطورات إقليمية أغرته
بالتمرد

ـ لا يد لأميركا
في جزء كبير مما يجري في العراق.. نتوءات تاريخية وراء المواجهات
الطائفية

ـ رفعنا احتياطي
البنك المركزي من 90 مليون دولار بعد حرب الانفصال إلى 6,4 مليار
دولار الآن

ـ عبد الناصر وعفلق كانا
رجلين والناصريون والبعثيون في اليمن توزعوا على سبعة
أحزاب

3/6/2006

الرئيس يترشح في
حالة الإجماع والمعارضة تعلن مرشحها منتصف الشهر

المعارضة تحذر
من ثورة شعبية على خلفية الخلافات الانتخابية في
اليمن

ـ أحزاب اللقاء
المشترك تطالب بالتمثيل النسبي لمعالجة اختلالات الانتخابات
النيابية السابقة

1/6/2006

اتهام جهات
رسمية بمحاولة اغتياله هل يحرره من جميل الرئيس..؟

الزنداني يخوض
الانتخابات بشريط "نار وصراخ".. ومحاولات اغتيال غير
مؤكدة

ـ رئيس مجلس شورى
"الإصلاح" يروج لشريط مسجل في الآخرة نقلت أصواته
للدنيا..!

ـ دعا
أميركيين لفحص جامعة الإيمان مشترطا أن لا يكونوا من الخارجية أو
المخابرات فأرسلوا له F.B.I.

29/5/2006

"الوطن"
و"حركة إبداع" تحاور الوزير العائد بهدف تفعيل الإعلام
اليمني

اللوزي:
السعودية تتفهم امتناعنا عن تسليم مطلوب يمني لها

ـ أعضاء القاعدة
في اليمن محدودون.. المجتمع اليمني يرفض التطرف والتعصب
الديني

ـ انتخاب نقيب
جديد وإقرار ميثاق شرف إعلامي المهمة المقبلة لمؤتمر نقابة
الصحفيين

ـ الصحف اليمنية
لم تقصد الإساءة للرسول.. القصد الجنائي غير متوفر في هذه
القضية

ـ الرئيس وجه
بإنشاء إذاعة لكل محافظة.. والوزارة تعمل على تفعيل السياسة
الإعلامية

28/5/2006

مقابلة الدكتور أبو
بكر القربي

"الوطن" و"حركة
إبداع" تحاوران وزير خارجية اليمن على هامش أعياد
الوحدة

Yemen Foreign minister to OM: We understand Hamas's
reasons

القربي: اليمن تتفهم رفض "حماس" الاعتراف بإسرائيل..
لتعطى فرصة كي تحكم
وتتغير
ـ
القضاء
اليمني قد يعلن أسماء الجهات
المتورطة بتقديم الدعم المالي لتمرد الحوثي في
جبال
صعدة
ـ
المشاركة المتوقعة في الدفاع عن أمن الإقليم وراء القرار الخليجي
بتأهيل
وقبول عضوية اليمن بمجلس
التعاون
ـ 45
مليار دولار كلفة إعادة التأهيل
الاقتصادي ثلثاها
تدفعها اليمن والثلث الأخير من الدول
الخليجية
ـ
الإرهاب يهدد بالانتقال من
الصومال إلى اليمن وأثيوبيا وكينيا وجيبوتي ولا يمكن لدول
المنطقة تجاهله

32

Report 32 Iranian Affairs

Iran-Israel
JPR74   Iran-Venezuela JPR 86  Iran-Syria JPR
14

Irán no suspenderá
enriquecimiento de uranio pero examinará la nueva
oferta

03/06/2006
13h58

31

Jordan-Palestine 31 Affairs

31/5/2006 تحليل
سياسي

قراءة في
كلمات واسباب خطاب عيد الإستقلال الأردني

غلطة
المستشارين لن تحول دون تعافي العلاقات الأردنية ـ

الكويتية

31/5/2006

قبيل توجهه
لزيارة واشنطن

الملك عبد الله
اتفق مع عباس على تشجيع الإنسحاب الأحادي من الضفة

30/5/2006

الكباريتي
والمجالي والمصري مرشحون لخلافة البخيت على رأس الحكومة
الأردنية

كونفدرالية تضم
الضفة الغربية للأردن تناقش الآن في واشنطن

29/5/2006

على خلفية
محاولة اغتيال أبو رجب

الطيراوي يؤنب
مركزية "فتح"

30

Report 30
Jordan-Palestine

Al-Zarqawi الزرقاوي

شيطان  الاستفتاء

العثور على
أسلحة بمدينة الرصيفة الأردنية

"حماس" تتهم
عبد الرحيم بـ"فبركة" بيان نعي الزرقاوي

نواب إسلاميون
يثيرون ردود فعل لتعزيتهم به ووصفه بالمجاهد

ذوو الزرقاوي
يطالبون باستلام جثته..

ومعلومات تفيد
مقتل زوجته وطفلهما معه

ـ تقرر قصفه جوا
لأنه كان يتزنر بحزام ناسف يريد تفجيره بمن يحاول
اعتقاله

رئيس مجلس شورى جبهة العمل
الإسلامي بالأردن

منصور: مغفلون من يعتقدون
بأنهم سيضعون أيديهم في الماء البارد بعد مقتل
الزرقاوي

مراقبون
يفترضون استئناف المنح النفطية لعمان

مقتل الزرقاوي
يتهدد الأردن بعمليات انتقامية

ـ إعلان
المشاركة يضر بالمصالح الأردنية ويثير عتب الحكومة العراقية التي
تريد المفاخرة بالإنجاز

الدويك يدعو
إلى خطة سلام فلسطينية وبرنامج وقواسم مشتركة

"الوطن" و"حركة
إبداع" تنفردان
بنشر تفاصيل وأسرار الحوار الفلسطيني في رام
الله

ـ الشاعر يكشف عن
أن "حماس" تبلور موقفا ايجابيا من وثيقة الأسرى وتشكيل حكومة
وحدة وطنية

"الوطن" و"حركة
إبداع" تنفردان بنشر نصي مشروع البرنامجين السياسي والتنظيمي
الفلسطينيين

"حماس" تقر
بمنظمة التحرير ممثلا شرعيا وحيدا للشعب الفلسطيني

ـ مركزية "فتح"
تكلف القدومي إدارة حوار تفعيل المنظمة مع الفصائل في دمشق بعد
أن انفرد به

ـ توقعات
بانقلاب القدومي على الفصل بين رئاستي التنفيذية والسلطة بعد
تصالحه مع عباس

قانون منع الإرهاب ينضم لقانون
الأحزاب في تفجير العلاقة بين الحكومة والمجتمع
الأردني

"مطبخ" مركزي في الأردن يتشكل
من الحكومة وأجهزتها لصياغة السياسات العامة

الأردن يعتذر عن
قبول منحة نفطية إيرانية مشروطة

31/5/2006

تحليل
سياسي

قراءة في كلمات
وأسباب خطاب عيد الاستقلال الأردني

غلطة
المستشارين لن تحول دون تعافي العلاقات الأردنية ـ
الكويتية

قبيل توجهه لزيارة
واشنطن
الملك عبد الله اتفق مع عباس على تشجيع الإنسحاب الأحادي من
الضفة
الكباريتي والمجالي والمصري مرشحون لخلافة البخيت على رأس الحكومة
الأردنية
كونفدرالية تضم الضفة الغربية للأردن تناقش الآن في
واشنطن
على خلفية محاولة اغتيال أبو رجب
الطيراوي يؤنب مركزية "فتح"

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Back report 56

المدونة السابقة

المدونة التالية

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